Guide · Updated 2026-07-13
Confluence Score, Explained
Under the hood of every SIGNAL9 pick: five independent signals, one deterministic score, zero vibes.
The five pillars
1. Trend structure (weight 25%). Where price sits relative to MA7 / MA25 / MA99. Stacked bullish = full points. Stacked bearish = zero.
2. Momentum (weight 20%). RSI level relative to trend regime, plus MACD histogram direction and slope. Overbought in an uptrend still scores positive — see our RSI + MACD guide.
3. Volume & flow (weight 20%). Relative Volume vs 20-day average, VWAP location, and unusual options activity. Real institutional footprints, not price noise.
4. Sentiment (weight 20%). Live news headlines, Reddit and X (Twitter) chatter, scored with a sentiment model trained on financial text specifically — not generic language sentiment.
5. Macro context (weight 15%). Sector performance, VIX regime, DXY direction, yield-curve stance. Filters out setups that look great locally but sit inside a hostile macro backdrop.
Why deterministic beats "AI black box"
You can look at any SIGNAL9 pick and see exactly which pillars contributed. That transparency is what makes the Live Learning Loop possible: each closed pick is graded against realized P&L, and pillars that fail to add expected value get their weight adjusted for the next cycle.
Confidence calibration
The score is also calibrated: a "9" doesn't just mean "we like it a lot" — it means historically, 9-rated setups closed profitable ~72% of the time on our track record. A "7" means ~55%. Calibration is what separates a real system from a wall-street sales deck.
See it live
Every pick on /track-record shows its confluence score at entry alongside the eventual outcome. That's the honest evaluation loop — the only one that matters.
FAQ
What is a confluence score?
A single 0–10 number that combines multiple independent signals — technicals, momentum, volume, sentiment, and macro context — into one measurable ranking. It's how professional systems compare setups apples-to-apples.
What confluence score is 'buy-worthy'?
In SIGNAL9, anything below 6 is filtered out. 6–7 is 'watch', 7.5–8.5 is 'accumulate', 8.5+ is a full BUY signal. Scores update in real time as the underlying signals change.
Can I game the score?
The scoring model is deterministic and out-of-sample validated — there's no discretion to game. The Live Learning Loop grades every closed pick against realized P&L, so if a signal stops working its weight drops automatically.
Disclaimer: educational content only, not investment advice. See our disclaimer.